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Archive for the ‘Predictions’ Category

Election predictions

Here are a few of our predictions (guesses) for today’s elections:

City of Pensacola — Mayor (Non-partisan)
Mike Wiggins: 35%
Ashton Hayward: 33%
Diane Mack: 18%
Charles Bare: 14%

Escambia County Commission — District 2 (R)
Grover Robinson IV: 62%
Dennis Green: 38%

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Presidential predictions, 31 October 2008

Every Friday, I have been laying out my prediction as to how I think the presidential race will shake out. This, of course, is the last Friday before the general election. As most of you know, national popular vote is irrelevant in presidential elections. The presidency is awarded based on votes in the Electoral College, [...]

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Presidential predictions, 24 October 2008

Every Friday through the general election I will lay out my prediction as to how I think the presidential race will shake out. As most of you know, national popular vote is irrelevant in presidential elections. The presidency is awarded based on votes in the Electoral College, which are apportioned according to popular vote within [...]

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Presidential predictions, 17 October 2008

Every Friday through the general election I will lay out my prediction as to how I think the presidential race will shake out. As most of you know, national popular vote is irrelevant in presidential elections. The presidency is awarded based on votes in the Electoral College, which are apportioned according to popular vote within [...]

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Upcoming predictions and endorsements

As we roll out some predictions and endorsements over the next two weeks, I want to restate what I said before the primary. Our endorsements are worth just about as much as those of the PNJ or Independent News — not much. They mean basically this: “I think this candidate is better suited for the [...]

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Presidential predictions, 10 October 2008

Every Friday through the general election I will lay out my prediction as to how I think the presidential race will shake out. As most of you know, national popular vote is irrelevant in presidential elections. The presidency is awarded based on votes in the Electoral College, which are apportioned according to popular vote within [...]

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Presidential predictions, 3 October 2008

Every Friday through the general election I will lay out my prediction as to how I think the presidential race will shake out. As most of you know, national popular vote is irrelevant in presidential elections. The presidency is awarded based on votes in the Electoral College, which are apportioned according to popular vote within [...]

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Presidential predictions, 26 September 2008

Every Friday through the general election I will lay out my prediction as to how I think the presidential race will shake out. As most of you know, national popular vote is irrelevant in presidential elections. The presidency is awarded based on votes in the Electoral College, which are apportioned according to popular vote within [...]

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Presidential predictions, 19 September 2008

Every Friday through the general election I will lay out my prediction as to how I think the presidential race will shake out. As most of you know, national popular vote is irrelevant in presidential elections. The presidency is awarded based on votes in the Electoral College, which are apportioned according to popular vote within [...]

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Presidential predictions, 12 September 2008

Every Friday through the general election I will lay out my prediction as to how I think the presidential race will shake out. As most of you know, national popular vote is irrelevant in presidential elections. The presidency is awarded based on votes in the Electoral College, which are apportioned according to popular vote within [...]

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Senate predictions, 6 September 2008

Change: Dems +5 DEM 54 REP 44 IND 2 Every Saturday through the general election I will lay out my predictions as to how I think this year’s Senate races will shake out. This year, 35 Senate seats are up for grabs. Eighteen of the seats are defended by Republican incumbents, with the Democrats fighting [...]

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Presidential predictions, 5 September 2008

Every Friday through the general election I will lay out my prediction as to how I think the presidential race will shake out. As most of you know, national popular vote is irrelevant in presidential elections. The presidency is awarded based on votes in the Electoral College, which are apportioned according to popular vote within [...]

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Presidential predictions, 29 August 2008

Today and every Friday through the general election I will lay out my prediction as to how I think the presidential race will shake out. As most of you know, national popular vote is irrelevant in presidential elections. The presidency is awarded based on votes in the Electoral College, which are apportioned according to popular [...]

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Primary predictions: Lower boards

ECUA, District 1 (R) This is a universal primary and this race will be decided in this election as there are no members of any other party in the race. The prediction: Incumbent Logan Fink will win reelection; however, it’s hard to predict how much of the vote Harlan Jennings will be able to get. [...]

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Primary predictions: Escambia BOCC

Escambia County Commission, District 1 (R) The winner of this election will face Democrat Stephen M. Davidson in the general election. District 1 is solidly Republican, however, and Davidson has neither the profile nor the money to make the race competitive, so in my opinion, this race is decided in the primary. The prediction: Robertson [...]

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Primary predictions: County-wide races

Escambia County Sheriff (R) The winner of this election will face the winner of the Democratic primary for the same office in the general election. The prediction: Incumbent Ron McNesby, with a substantial money and influence advantage, will squeak by David Morgan, that said, it will be a lot closer than it was four years [...]

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Primary predictions: State races

Public Defender (R) The winner of this primary will face Democrat Tony Henderson in the general election. The prediction: James Owens will beat Kelly Merritt Richards in a close race. What I wish would happen instead: I don’t care all that much, but if I had to pick, I’d say I wanted Kelly Merritt Richards [...]

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Predictions and endorsements week

Anyone that knows me knows that I’m excited as can be, because it’s eight days until an election, and I love elections. This week Pensacola Progressive will feature our predictions for the upcoming August 26 primary. We’ll also make a few endorsements. Our endorsements are worth just about as much as the PNJ editorial board’s [...]

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